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کریمی تکانلو, زهرا, فرهنگ, امیرعلی, محمدپور, علی. (1402). اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 10(4), 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
زهرا کریمی تکانلو; امیرعلی فرهنگ; علی محمدپور. "اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 10, 4, 1402, 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
کریمی تکانلو, زهرا, فرهنگ, امیرعلی, محمدپور, علی. (1402). 'اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 10(4), pp. 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
کریمی تکانلو, زهرا, فرهنگ, امیرعلی, محمدپور, علی. اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1402; 10(4): 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225

اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران

نظریه های کاربردی اقتصاد
مقاله 3، دوره 10، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 39، اسفند 1402، صفحه 65-102    اصل مقاله (975.26 K)
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
نویسندگان
زهرا کریمی تکانلو* 1؛ امیرعلی فرهنگ2؛ علی محمدپور3
1دانشیار اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریز
2استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه پیام نور
3دانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریز
چکیده
تغییرات آب و هوایی جهانی که با  انتشار گازهای گلخانه­ای به ویژه دی اکسید کربن تشدید می­شود، خطر بزرگی برای زندگی، محیط زیست جهانی و توسعه ایجاد می­کند. تخریب محیط زیست یکی از بحث ‌انگیزترین موضوعات در مجامع بین‌المللی است و نگرانی اصلی برای کل جهان محسوب می­شود. بنابراین، محققان و سیاست­گذاران توجه خود را از رشد اقتصادی متعارف به رشد سبز معطوف کرده­اند. مطالعه حاضر در تلاش برای بررسی تأثیر نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، مصرف انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر و کیفیت نهادی بر رشد سبز طی دوره زمانی 1381-1399 در کشور ایران است. متغیر مورد استفاده در نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی با یک شاخص ترکیبی بدست آمده است که نااطمینانی در سیاست­های ارزی، پولی و مالی با استفاده از الگوهای اقتصادسنجی  و محاسبه شده است. همچنین متغیر رشد سبز، رشد اقتصادی تعدیل شده با محیط زیست است و به تبعیت از تحقیقات احمد و همکاران (2022) و  سوهاگ و همکاران (2022) مورد سنجش قرار گرفته شده است. برای تجزیه و تحلیل موضوع پژوهش از روش خود رگرسیونی با وقفه توزیعی چندکی (QARDL) استفاده شده است. یافته­های تجربی نشان می­دهد که نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی در تمامی چندک­های 25/0، 50/0، 75/0 و 95/0 تأثیر منفی بر رشد سبز دارد، در حالی که مصرف انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر و کیفیت نهادی، رشد سبز را افزایش می­دهند. از متغیرهای کنترلی سرمایه، اشتغال و باز بودن تجارت و تأثیر گذاری آن بر رشد سبز نیز استفاده شده است. در کل چندک­ها متغیرهای کنترلی باز بودن تجارت و سرمایه تأثیر مثبت بر رشد سبز داشته است، در حالی که اشتغال تأثیر منفی بر آن داشته است. 
کلیدواژه‌ها
رشد سبز؛ نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی ؛ کیفیت نهادی؛ انرژی‌های تجدید پذیر؛ QARDL
مراجع
  1. دانشوری، سمیه، سلاطین، پروانه و خلیل زاده، محمد (1397). تأثیر انرژی­های تجدید پذیر بر اقتصاد سبز. مجله علوم و تکنولوژی محیط زیست، 21(12)، 15-1.
  2. صادقی، سید کمال، سجودی، سکینه و احمد زاده دلجوان، فهیمه (1396). تأثیر انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد اقتصادی و کیفیت محیط زیست در ایران. فصلنامه پژوهش­های سیاستگذاری و برنامه­ریزی انرژی، 3(1)، 202-171.

 

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