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کریمی تکانلو, زهرا, فرهنگ, امیرعلی, محمدپور, علی. (1402). اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 10(4), 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
زهرا کریمی تکانلو; امیرعلی فرهنگ; علی محمدپور. "اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 10, 4, 1402, 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
کریمی تکانلو, زهرا, فرهنگ, امیرعلی, محمدپور, علی. (1402). 'اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 10(4), pp. 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
کریمی تکانلو, زهرا, فرهنگ, امیرعلی, محمدپور, علی. اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1402; 10(4): 65-102. doi: 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225

اثرات نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، کیفیت نهادی و انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد سبز :مطالعه موردی ایران

نظریه های کاربردی اقتصاد
مقاله 3، دوره 10، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 39، اسفند 1402، صفحه 65-102    اصل مقاله (979.89 K)
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22034/ecoj.2024.58065.3225
نویسندگان
زهرا کریمی تکانلو* 1؛ امیرعلی فرهنگ2؛ علی محمدپور3
1دانشیار اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریز
2استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه پیام نور
3دانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد دانشگاه تبریز
چکیده
تغییرات آب و هوایی جهانی که با  انتشار گازهای گلخانه­ای به ویژه دی اکسید کربن تشدید می­شود، خطر بزرگی برای زندگی، محیط زیست جهانی و توسعه ایجاد می­کند. تخریب محیط زیست یکی از بحث ‌انگیزترین موضوعات در مجامع بین‌المللی است و نگرانی اصلی برای کل جهان محسوب می­شود. بنابراین، محققان و سیاست­گذاران توجه خود را از رشد اقتصادی متعارف به رشد سبز معطوف کرده­اند. مطالعه حاضر در تلاش برای بررسی تأثیر نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی، مصرف انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر و کیفیت نهادی بر رشد سبز طی دوره زمانی 1381-1399 در کشور ایران است. متغیر مورد استفاده در نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی با یک شاخص ترکیبی بدست آمده است که نااطمینانی در سیاست­های ارزی، پولی و مالی با استفاده از الگوهای اقتصادسنجی  و محاسبه شده است. همچنین متغیر رشد سبز، رشد اقتصادی تعدیل شده با محیط زیست است و به تبعیت از تحقیقات احمد و همکاران (2022) و  سوهاگ و همکاران (2022) مورد سنجش قرار گرفته شده است. برای تجزیه و تحلیل موضوع پژوهش از روش خود رگرسیونی با وقفه توزیعی چندکی (QARDL) استفاده شده است. یافته­های تجربی نشان می­دهد که نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی در تمامی چندک­های 25/0، 50/0، 75/0 و 95/0 تأثیر منفی بر رشد سبز دارد، در حالی که مصرف انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر و کیفیت نهادی، رشد سبز را افزایش می­دهند. از متغیرهای کنترلی سرمایه، اشتغال و باز بودن تجارت و تأثیر گذاری آن بر رشد سبز نیز استفاده شده است. در کل چندک­ها متغیرهای کنترلی باز بودن تجارت و سرمایه تأثیر مثبت بر رشد سبز داشته است، در حالی که اشتغال تأثیر منفی بر آن داشته است. 
کلیدواژه‌ها
رشد سبز؛ نااطمینانی سیاست اقتصادی؛ کیفیت نهادی؛ انرژی‌های تجدید پذیر؛ QARDL
مراجع
  1. دانشوری، سمیه، سلاطین، پروانه و خلیل زاده، محمد (1397). تأثیر انرژی­های تجدید پذیر بر اقتصاد سبز. مجله علوم و تکنولوژی محیط زیست، 21(12)، 15-1.
  2. صادقی، سید کمال، سجودی، سکینه و احمد زاده دلجوان، فهیمه (1396). تأثیر انرژی­های تجدیدپذیر بر رشد اقتصادی و کیفیت محیط زیست در ایران. فصلنامه پژوهش­های سیاستگذاری و برنامه­ریزی انرژی، 3(1)، 202-171.

 

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