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تجزیهوتحلیل و مدلسازی انرژی و میزان تولید گازهای گلخانهای در تولید سیب با بهکارگیری یادگیری ماشین در شهرستان نظرآباد | ||
مکانیزاسیون کشاورزی | ||
مقاله 6، دوره 8، شماره 4، بهمن 1402، صفحه 81-96 اصل مقاله (1009.92 K) | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22034/jam.2024.58882.1259 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
سیدامید داودالموسوی1؛ شاهین رفیعی* 2؛ علی جعفری3؛ علی رفیعی4 | ||
11. دانشجو کارشناسی ارشد. مکانیک بیوسیستم انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر. دانشگاه تهران | ||
2استاد. مکانیک بیوسیستم انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر. دانشگاه تهران | ||
3گروه مهندسی مکانیک ماشینهای کشاورزی، دانشکده فنی و مهندسی کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران | ||
4دانشجو دانشگاه پیام نور کرج استان البرز | ||
چکیده | ||
امروزه تأمین امنیت غذایی برای جمعیت روبهرشد جهان با حفظ منابع کره زمین و حداقل اثرات زیستمحیطی به یکی از چالشهای اساسی و مهم در کشاورزی پایدار تبدیل شده است و استفاده بهینه از منابع یکی از الزامات اصلی کشاورزی پایدار است. در این مطالعه به بررسی الگوی مصرف انرژی در جریان تولید سیب، تجزیهوتحلیل و مدلسازی انرژی و انتشارات گازهای گلخانهای در شهرستان نظرآباد پرداخته شد. نتایج نشان داد که کل انرژی مصرفی برابر ۴۶/۳۵۹۳۴ مگاژول در هکتار و انتشارات برابر با ۱۲۲۰۰۳۱ گرم معادل کربندیاکسید در هکتار بود. کود ازته با سهم ۴۳/۳۲ درصدی از کل انرژیهای ورودی پرمصرفترین نهاده بود. شاخصهای کارایی انرژی، بهرهوری انرژی، شدت انرژی و انرژی خالص به ترتیب ۴۳/۱، (kg/Mj) ۵۹/۰،(Mj/Kg) ۶۷/۱ و (Mj)۱۸/۱۵۵۴۱ به دست آمد. مدلسازی با سه روش GBR، DTR و RFR انجام شد و RRMSE به ترتیب ۰۲/۰، ۰۷/۰ و ۰۸/۰ و R به ترتیب ۹۹/۰، ۹۶/۰ و ۹۴/۰ محاسبه شد نتایج نشان داد که روش GBR قادر است بادقت بالاتری مقادیر شاخصهای بهرهوری انرژی تولید سیب را پیشبینی کند. نتایج نشان داد که مصرف انرژی و انتشارات بهوسیله نهادههای آب آبیاری، الکتریسیته، کودهای شیمیایی و حیوانی، نیروی کارگری، سموم شیمیایی، سوخت دیزل و ماشینها با روش یادگیری ماشین و بادقت بالایی قابلپیشبینی است. تحلیل حساسیت با SHAP انجام شد و تأثیرگذارترین نهاده روی پیشبینی انرژی کود شیمیایی ازته بود. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
تحلیل حساسیت با SHAP؛ شهرستان نظرآباد؛ کارایی انرژی؛ سیب؛ یادگیری ماشین | ||
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