اثر تغییر اقلیم بر عملکرد و ریسک عملکرد محصولات زراعی منتخب استان کردستان

Abebaw, S.E. (2025). A global review of the impacts of climate change and variability on agricultural productivity and farmers’ adaptation strategies. Food Science & Nutrition, 13 e70260. https://doi.org/10.1002/fsn3.70260

Afshartabar, R., Mortazavi, S.A., & Khalilian, S. (2023). Evaluation of climate change impacts on the production of agricultural products in Marvdasht city. Iranian Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 17(1), 42-55. (in Persian with English abstract) https://dor.isc.ac/dor/20.1001.1.20087942.1402.17.1.4.8

Alemaw, B. and Simalenga, T. (2015). Climate change impacts and adaptation in rainfed farming systems: A modeling framework for scaling-out climate smart agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa. American Journal of Climate Change, 4, 313-329. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2015.44025

Alijani, F. Karbasi, A. and Mafdari Masan, M. (2011). Investigating the effect of temperature and precipitation on irrigated wheat yield in Iran. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development, 19(76), 76-90. (in Persian with English abstract).

Amani, R., Ghorbani, Z., & Mozaffari, Z. (2024). The impact of climate change risk and climate change performance index on agricultural sector value added: A quantile panel regression approach. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research (Sustainable Growth and Development), 24(3), 3-30. (in Persian with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.22034/24.3.1

Baltagi, B. H. )2005(. Econometric analysis of panel data. Wiley. & Sons Inc. 3th edition, New York, USA.

Bibi, F., & Rahman, A. (2023). An overview of climate change impacts on agriculture and their mitigation strategies. Agriculture, 13(8), 1508. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture13081508

Ebi, K. L., Vanos, J., Baldwin, J. W., Bell, J. E., Hondula, D. M., Errett, N. A., Hayes, K., Reid, C. E., Saha, S., Spector, J., & Berry, P. (2021). Extreme Weather and Climate Change: Population Health and Health System Implications. Annual Review of Public Health, 42, 293–315. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-publhealth-012420-105026

Emediegwu, L. E., Wossink, A., & Hall, A. (2022). The impacts of climate change on agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa: A spatial panel data approach. World Development, 158, 105967. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2022.105967

Ensan, E., Salami, H., Saleh, I., & Peykani M., G. R. (2021). Investigating the effect of two important climatic variables on yield and production risk of dry-land wheat using moment-based models. Agricultural Economics, 14(2), 53-80. (in Persian with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.2204/iaes.2020.136417.1788  

Farhadnia, E., & Ghahremanzadeh, M., (2015). Investigating the effects of climate change on yield and yield risk of rainfed wheat and barley in East Azerbaijan province, International conference on development with an agricultural. Environmental and Tourism Focus, Tabriz, (in Persian with English abstract) https://civilica.com/doc/468609

Finger, R. & Schmid, S. (2008). Modeling agricultural production risk and the adaptation to climate change. Journsl of Agricultural Finance Review, 12, 25- 41. https://doi.org/10.1108/00214660880001217

Greene, W.H. (2003). Econometric analysis, 5th edition, New York University, U.S.

Gammans, M., Mérel, P., & Ortiz-Bobea, A. (2017). Negative impacts of climate change on cereal yields: statistical evidence from France. Environmental Research Letters, 12(5), 054007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa6b0c

Ghahremanzadeh, M., Golbaz, M., Hayati, B., & Dashti, G. (2015). The effect of climatic variables on yield and yield risk of wheat and maize in Qazvin Province. Agricultural Economics, 8(4), 655-676. (in Persian with English abstract)

Guo, X., Zhang, P., & Yue, Y. (2024). Prediction of global wheat cultivation distribution under climate change and socioeconomic development. Science of The Total Environment, 919, 170481. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170481

Hosini S. M. T., Seyed M. A., Fathi P., and Seyed M. M. (2007). Application of artificial neural networks and multivariate regression in estimating rainfed wheat yield in Qorveh region, Kurdistan province. Agricultural Research: Water, Soil and Plant in Agriculture, 7(1), 41-54. (in Persian with English abstract)

Houshyar, S., Dehbashi, V., Mohammadi, H., Esmahilpormogadam, H., Sargazi, A. & Keikha, A. (2025). The effect of climate change on the economy of Iran's agricultural sector. Management of Natural Ecosystems, 3(4), 40-49. https://doi.org/10.22034/emj.2025.722981

Jalali Monfared, A. O. S., & Aptin, R. (2025). The impact of global warming and climate change on agriculture and food security of the world and Iran. American Journal of Agriculture and Food Research, 10(2), 38-45. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajere.20251002.11

Jaylen Keniah. (2023). Global warming: A comprehensive examination. International Journal of Science and Society, 5(4), 135-145. https://doi.org/10.54783/ijsoc.v5i4.771

Just, R. E. & Pope, R. D. (1979). Production function estimation and related risk considerations. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 61(2). https://doi.org/276–284.doi:10.2307/1239732

Karbasi, A. & Ghaffari, Z. (2009). The impact of climate change on crop yield. Sixth International Conference on Agricultural Economics. Pp. 45-60. (in Persian with English abstract)

Karimifard, S., Moghaddasi, R., Yazdani, S., & Mohammadi Nejad, A. (2018). Investigating the impact of climatic variables on the yield of agricultural crops in Iran (Case study: Khuzestan province). Journal of Agricultural Economics, 12(1), 91-109. (in Persian with English abstract)

Kokic, P. Heaney, A. Pechey, L. Crimp, S. & Fisher, B. (2005). Predicting the impacts on agriculture: a case study Australian commodities. Journal of Climate Change, 12, 123-140.

Koocheki, A., Nasiri mahalati, M. & Jafari, L. (2015). Evaluation of climate change effect on agricultural production of Iran: I. predicting the future agroclimatic conditions. Iranian Journal of Field Crops Research, 13(4), 651-664. (in Persian with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.22067/gsc.v13i4.51156

Lal, R. (2021). Climate change and agriculture, Chapter 31. In:  Letcher, T. M. Climate Change and Soil Interactions. Third Edition, Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-821575-3.00031-1

Lhomme, J.P. Mougou, R. & Mansour, M. (2009). Potential impact of climate change on durum wheat cropping in Tunisia. Journal of Climatic Change, 3, 35 48. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9571-9

Ministry of Agriculture Jihad. (2024). Agricultural Yearbook for the Crop, 2023-2024. Office of Statistics and Information Technology, Deputy of Planning and Economy, Tehran, Iran. (In Persian)

Mosaedi, A., Mohammadi Moghaddam, S. & Ghabaei Souq, M. (2015). Modeling rainfed wheat and barley yield based on drought indices and meteorological variables. Journal of Water and Soil, 29(3), 730-749. (in Persian with English abstract)    https://doi.org/10.22067/jsw.v0i0.36894

Nasserzadeh, M. H., Alijani, B. & Paydari M. (2020). The Effect of Climate Change on the Yield of Rice in the Rasht County. Journal of Water and Soil Science, 24 (2), 41-54.

       https://doi.org/10.47176/jwss.24.2.39601 (in Persian with English abstract) 

Pishbahar, A. (2018). Econometrics (with applications of econometrics specialized software).  Noore Elm Publication, Tehran, Iran.

Rafiei, Z., Mousavi, S. H., & Khalilian, S. (2018). Analysis of the relationship between climate variability, yield, and production risk of agricultural crops: A case study of rain-fed wheat in Fars province. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 13(1), 81-108. (in Persian with English abstract)

Redsma, P. Ewert, F. Boogaard, H. & Diepen, K. (2009). Economic impacts of climate variability and subsidies on Eropean agriculture and observed adaptation strategies. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 14 (1), 35-59. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-008-9149-2

Rossati, A. (2017). Global warming and its health impact. The International Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 8(1), 7–20. https://doi.org/10.15171/ijoem.2017.963

Sabzi Parvar, A. Torkaman, M. & Maryanji, Z. (2012). Investigating the effect of meteorological indices and variables on optimal wheat yield (Case Study: Hamadan Province). Journal of Water and Soil, 26(6), 48-63. (in Persian with English abstract).

Sadeghi, H., Mohammadi, H., Shamsipour, A., Zarei, K., & Karimi, M. (2022). The spatial relationship of climatic variables with rainfed wheat yield in Iran. Journal of Geography and Development, 20 (68), 184-214. (in Persian with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.22111/gdij10.22111.2022.7008

Sadeghi, M. & Molaei, M. (2017). Investigating the effect of climate change on yield and yield risk of Two rainfed wheat and barley crops in East Azarbaijan Province. Seventh National Conference on Sustainable Agriculture and Natural Resources, Tehran. (in Persian)  https://civilica.com/doc/636157

Shahraki, J., Sabouhi, M. & Yaqubi, M. (2017). The impacts of climate change on wheat production: A stochastic production function approach. Journal of Natural Environmental Hazards, l.06 (11), 69-84. (in Persian with English abstract)

Shuai, C. Chen, X. & Xo, J. (2013). Impacts of climate change on corn and soybean yields in china. Pp. 120-145. In: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association and CAES joint Annual Meeting, Washington, DC. USA.  

Sun, H., Wang, Y., & Wang, L. (2024). Impact of climate change on wheat production in China. European Journal of Agronomy, 153, 127066. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2024.127066

Waongo, M., Laux, P., Coulibaly, A., Sy, S., & Kunstmann, H. (2024). Assessing the impacts of climate change on rainfed maize production in burkina faso, West Africa. Atmosphere, 15(12), 1438. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15121438

Xu, Q., Sarker, R., Fox, G., & McKenney, D. (2019). Effects of climatic and economic factors on corn and soybean yields in ontario: A county level analysis. International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics, 7, 1-17.

Yang, Y., Tilman, D., Jin, Z., Smith, P., Barrett, C. B., Zhu, Y.-G., Burney, J., D’Odorico, P., Fantke, P., Fargione, J., Finlay, J. C., Rulli, M. C., Sloot, L., van Groeningen, K. J., West, P. C., Ziska, L., Michalak, A. M., Clim-Ag Team, & Lobell, D. B. (2024). Climate change exacerbates the environmental impacts of agriculture. Scince, 385, 6713. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adn3747

Ziaii, G., Babazadeh, H., Ebrahimipak, N., Tafteh, A., & Eftekhari, K. (2023). Spatial evaluation of yield and rainwater productivity index in rainfed wheat using AquaCrop-GIS model (case study: Kurdistan province). Iranian Journal of Irrigation & Drainage, 17(3), 465–477. (in Persian with English abstract). https://dor.isc.ac/dor/20.1001.1.20087942.1402.17.3.5.3